Tuesday, November 07, 2006

Virginia buzz

The final exit polling in the Allen-Webb race apparently shows Webb ahead 50.5-48.5, which, if it holds, would essentially be the same as my 51-49 prediction. According to the same source, however, this is closer than it was in the "leaked polls" I was skeptical of earlier. If tht trend of late tightening continues, either Allen wins or Webb's margin will be painfully thin.

UPDATE: The corrected exit poll numbers actually give Webb a 51.1-47.9 advantage, though the overall trend is the same. The media is also not calling Ohio for Brown despite his holding a 16% lead in the exit polls. That should give you an idea of how much stock to put in exit polling.

--Barry Caro

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